By Walid Shoebat
Historically when it comes to newly elected U.S. presidents, be they democrat or republican, things rarely turn out the way the excited masses expect it to. Americans by large only care about domestic policy. But when it comes to U.S. foreign policy, dummies ignore a golden rule: when parties change foreign policy doesn't. The same dummies ignore another golden rule: foreign policy is more important than domestic policy. You can have the nicest house, but if it is located in a very bad neighborhood, it is rendered wothless since even if you complain about the "ethnic undesirables" in your area, your distant oriental neighbors can still sling nuclear stones at you. The world is a very small neighborhood.
One of the first issues, the Trump Administration is tackling, is the competition between China and the United States. Trump's Administration issued some warning statements regarding the South China Sea, which is set to grow, and now China's state media is warning the U.S. with a "devastating confrontation".
Initially, while campaigning, Trump has spoken little about the South China Sea issue, focusing strictly on the economic ties where he labeled China as a currency manipulator and wanted to impose tariffs on Chinese imports. It was all great sounding news for Americans who cared more about "domestic policy" .
“The US is going to make sure that we protect our interests there,” White House spokesman Sean Spicer said Monday, adding "we’re going to make sure that we defend international territories from being taken over by one country”.
When Rex Tillerson was Trump’s nominee for Secretary of State, he told a Senate committee that China should be barred from the seven artificial islands it has built in the South China Sea, over most of which Beijing claims sovereignty. The artificial islands are built to bolster Beijing's maritime claims. These are mini Chinese fortresses—hosting antiaircraft guns and other sophisticated weaponry.
In a press briefing Monday, Trump's press secretary Sean Spicer repeated Tillerson's challenge: “It’s a question of if those islands are in fact in international waters and not part of China proper, then yeah, we’re going to make sure that we defend international territories from being taken over by one country,” Spicer said.
According to Time, US analysts believe this is equivalent to threatening military action or a naval blockade.
China’s state media has responded forcefully warning that any such attempt would force a “devastating confrontation” and that both sides should “prepare for a military clash.”
But there is more to this than saber rattling. On January 11th, while US Secretary of State was a nominee, Rex Tillerson expressed intention to defend the "Japanese-administered Senkaku Islands" against Chinese aggression based on the Japan-US security treaty.
“We have longstanding ally commitments with Japan and South Korea in the area, and I think we would respond in accordance with those (security) accords,” Tillerson said.
While we do not predict that the US will initiate a war with China, big dogs only fight as a last resort, it will however advance Japan to neutralize China. It is all unfolding. On August 2016, we stated predicting such scenario:
On account of fears about Russia, China and North Korea, the Americans will break the chains imposed on Japan and thus enable them to revive their military strength. This is reflected in recent statements by Donald Trump in regards to fears about North Korea. Donald Trump, who is very likely to be the next president of the United States, has suggested that Japan be allowed to have nuclear weapons in order to keep the North Koreans in check. The United States, according to an agreement made with Japan, is suppose to be the aid of Japan in the case of any military conflict that would put the Japanese in danger. Donald Trump does not want to follow the initial plan, but rather it appears that he will allow Japan to fight out any conflicts on its own.
The typical U.S. 'big dog' strategy is why the Trump Administration (and like other previous administrations) is addressing China, while ignoring other nations with more serious issues. This is because big dogs depends on the smaller dog packs in hope these neutralize new rival dogs like China.
But the problem with such policy of aiding the lesser of two evils is that historically dog packs will eventually turn on the U.S.
The U.S. never learned, it modernized Japan's technology during the 19th century, to only have it turn on the U.S. at Pearl Harbor. Shinzo Abe recently agreed that Japan would be providing Turkey with its second nuclear power plant by 2023. The pact also adds that Turkey will be allowed to enrich uranium and extract plutonium, a potential material for nuclear weapons.
While Trump speaks about destroying ISIS, Turkey has established itself as a very significant superpower, a preponderating influencer in the Muslim world, and is the most powerful of the Muslim nations today. Its reemergence as an empire is being helped by the US, which sees Turkey as an ally that it can use as a balancer in the Middle East, believing that Turkey will keep Iran in check and in control. Nothing will change here whether it is Obama or Trump in office. In the future, Turkey will present itself as a stabilizer in nations such as Syria (which it already does) and Egypt, and the US will welcome this since it trusts Turkey as a NATO ally in the Middle East.
Now compare Turkey with Japan. Japan was once a powerful imperialist empire, that was crushed in 1945, and then pacified. Turkey as well was crushed in 1918 and was then pacified. And like Turkey, Japan is considered an ally of the U.S. where trump said nothing of Japan's or Turkey's global threats. As Turkey is viewed by the US as a balancer to keep in check Iran, so is Japan esteemed by the US as a balancer against the rise of Chinese military power. Also like Turkey, Japan is a formidable military power, with a very strong navy and substantially large army. With these factors put together, it is not far-fetched to say that the US will enable Japan to cease from being a seemingly pacified nation that is prevented from being an aggressor, to a conspicuous superpower with enough freedom to use its military to act as a balancing nation in Asia major while Turkey acts as a balancer in Asia Minor.
Japan and Turkey may seem moderate now (just like Germany), but when in imperial power these nations are cruel, sadistic, and insatiable for blood and dominance.
Moreover, Japan is reminiscent to Turkey in that it is intensifying in populist ultra-nationalism and fanatic reactionary ideology.
We always get condemned every time we write negatively about Japan or if we critique Trump. The naive always tell us that the Japanese are nice. But so are the Turks and the Germans. Measuring good versus evil on the basis of niceness reveals the knowledge of the fools, for in the east elegance always goes alongside with utter cruelty. Japan is the most powerful nation in Asia major (more than even China) and Turkey is the most powerful nation in Asia Minor and these two blood relatives are up to no good while U.S. government only focuses on China. When one peruses amateur talk they conclude that China is militarily more powerful than Japan. This is because these evaluate on the basis sheer numbers. However, when perusing real experts, it reveals the opposite, Japan is way more sophisticated and advanced.
We have always predicted that the U.S. will not change certain foreign policies, no matter who is your favorite president.
If we are wrong here, and governments care more about humanity than sheer power, perhaps these can answer a simple question: the holocaust denials by both Japan (in their Nanking massacre) and Turkey (in their Armenian Genocide); can someone show us a single U.S. President, who persisted these two admit their guilt and pay reparations? Donald Trump said nothing so far about such issues, he, like the previous presidents, has honed in only on the Chinese.
President worship has been the custom in the U.S. The phenomenon continues for the first year or two, where rhetorical crucifixions and guillotine beheadings of dissenters are displayed on the media public square. We have been blasted when we similarly critiqued Bush, Romney and even Glenn Beck when these were popular. Even religious writers and pastors whom we exposed their faulty prophecies and date-settings, that have come and gone, making their works worthless, the commenters never come back to apologize. The same will be for Trump. In time, it all wares out and for the meanwhile, we will get comments like "at least he was better than ...". Indeed, he is less worse than ...
Never put trust in man, any man.
As we said, Trump will do good for the American people economically, but internationally, we predict he will screw up big time.
The best foreign policy for an American is this "don't touch it. You 100% will screw it up".
Is it no wonder that even Jesus pointed this out: "my people are destroyed for the lack of knowledge". Read and learn:
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