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Children are up to 16 times more likely to die with Covid-19 if they’ve had the Covid Vaccine according to latest UK Health Security Agency report

The latest report from the UK Health Security Agency shows that the Chief Medical Officer (CMO) for England’s decision to recommend all children over the age of 12 should be vaccinated against Covid-19 was a huge mistake because the data shows children are 16 times more likely to die with Covid-19 if they have been vaccinated.
Chris Whitty; the CMO for England, overruled the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI) on the 13th September 2021 and wrote a letter to the UK Government advising them to offer the Pfizer Covid-19 injection to all children over the age of 12 with immediate effect.
The decision was of course highly controversial due to the <a href="https://theexpose.uk/2021/09/14/13-reasons-why-you-should-not-allow-your-child-to-get-the-covid-19-vaccine/">following reasons</a> –
<ul>
<li>86% of children suffered an adverse reaction to the Pfizer Covid-19 vaccine in the clinical trial</li>
<li>1 in 9 children suffered a severe adverse reaction leaving them unable to perform daily activities in the Pfizer clinical trial</li>
<li>Just 9 deaths associated with Covid-19 have occurred in children since March 2020 up to August 25th 2021</li>
<li>The risk of children developing serious illness due to Covid-19 is extremely low</li>
<li>The Pfizer Covid-19 Vaccine is experimental and still in clinical trials</li>
<li>Three Scientific Studies conducted by the UK Government, Oxford University, & CDC, which were published in August have found the Covid-19 Vaccines do not work</li>
<li>Public Health England Data shows the majority of Covid-19 Deaths are among the Vaccinated and suggests that the Vaccines worsen disease</li>
<li>There have been at least 1.2 million Adverse Reactions to the Covid-19 Vaccines in the UK alone</li>
<li>There have been more deaths in 10 months due to the Covid-19 Vaccines than there have been due to all other available Vaccines since the year 2001</li>
<li>The risk of children developing Myocarditis (Heart Inflammation) due to the Pfizer vaccine</li>
<li>Children have died and are dying due to the Covid-19 Vaccines in the USA</li>
<li>The Joint Committee on Vaccination & Immunisation refused to recommend the Pfizer vaccine be offered to children</li>
</ul>
(A full list of references for the above reasons can be found at the end of this article)
This led to the ‘Covid-19 Assembly’ and lawyer Francis Hoar attempting to put a stop to the experimental vaccination in children in court. However, the Judge has so far refused to halt the roll-out of the Pfizer jab to children despite <a href="https://theexpose.uk/2021/10/06/uk-judge-orders-government-to-provide-evidence-in-court-that-justifies-covid-19-vaccination-of-children/">instructing the UK Government to submit evidence to the court justifying the vaccination of children</a> by October 11th, with ‘Covid-19 Assembly’ having until the 15th October to respond before the court will promptly reconsider the matter. There are still no updates as of yet.
The Judge may yet live to regret his decision not to pause the roll-out of the experimental Covid-19 injection to children because <a href="https://theexpose.uk/2021/10/20/child-deaths-are-52-percent-higher-since-they-were-offered-the-covid-19-vaccine/">Office for National Statistics data shows that deaths among children are 52% higher than the five-year-average</a> since Chris Whitty overruled the JCVI and instructed children to be vaccinated. This is an extremely concerning figure when up until the point they began to be vaccinated deaths among children were 14% down on the five-year-average.
But now more concerning data on the consequences of vaccinating children has emerged in the UK Health Security Agency’s ‘<a href="https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1027511/Vaccine-surveillance-report-week-42.pdf">Week 42 – Vaccine Surveillance Report</a>‘.
Table 2 of the <a href="https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1027511/Vaccine-surveillance-report-week-42.pdf">report</a> shows the number of Covid-19 cases between the 20th September and 17th October by age group and vaccination status.
The report shows that there were 351,148 cases among not-vaccinated under 18’s during this period, whilst there were just 10,698 cases among under 18’s who had received a single dose less than 21 days prior to testing postive during this period.
Table 3 of the <a href="https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1027511/Vaccine-surveillance-report-week-42.pdf">UKHSA Vaccine Surveillance Report</a> shows the number of people hospitalised with Covid-19 between 20th September and 17th October 2021 by age group and vaccination status.
The report shows that here were 560 hospitalisations among not-vaccinated under 18’s during this period, whilst there were 9 hospitalisations among under 18’s who had received a single dose less than 21 days prior to testing postive during this period.
Table 4 of the <a href="https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1027511/Vaccine-surveillance-report-week-42.pdf">UKHSA Vaccine Surveillance Report</a> shows the number of people who died with Covid-19 between 20th September and 17th October 2021 by age group and vaccination status.
The report shows that were 4 deaths among not-vaccinated under 18’s during this period, whilst there was 1 death among a child under 18 who had been vaccinated less than 21 days prior to testing positive.
At first glance these figures may not seem concerning, until you take a look at the Covid-19 case-fatality rate and Covid-19 hospitalisation-fatality rate by vaccination status.
According to the UKHSA report, 0.001% of Covid-19 cases in not-vaccinated under 18’s resulted in death between September 20th and October 17th 2021. 
(4 deaths / 351,148 cases x 100)
Whereas 0.009% of Covid-19 cases in under 18’s, who had received a single dose less than 21 days prior to testing positive, resulted in death during the same time frame. 
(1 death / 10,698 cases x 100)
Therefore the data shows that children are 800% / 9 times more likely to die if infected with Covid-19 if they receive a single dose of a Covid-19 vaccine less than 21 days prior to infection.
By also including under 18’s who had received a single dose of a Covid-19 vaccine more than 21 days prior to testing positive (11,001 cases) the data shows that children are 400% / 5 times more likely to die if infected with Covid-19 after being vaccinated as the case-fatality rate equates to 0.05%.
However, things are unfortunately much worse for children who’ve been vaccinated in terms of the Covid-19 hospitalisation-fatality rate.
According to the UKHSA report, 0.7% of Covid-19 hospitalisations in not-vaccinated under 18’s resulted in death between September 20th and October 17th 2021. 
(4 deaths / 560 hospitalisations x 100)
Whereas 11% of Covid-19 hospitalisations in under 18’s, who had received a single dose less than 21 days prior to testing positive, resulted in death during the same time frame. 
(1 death / 9 hospitalisations x 100)
Therefore the data shows that children are 1,471% / 15.7 times more likely to die with Covid-19 after being hospitalised if they receive a single dose of a Covid-19 vaccine less than 21 days prior to infection.
By also including under 18’s who had received a single dose of a Covid-19 vaccine more than 21 days prior to testing positive (10 hospitalisations) the data shows that children are 642% / 7.4 times more likely to die if hospitalised with Covid-19 after being vaccinated as the hospitalisation-fatality rate equates to 5.2%.
With a <a href="https://theexpose.uk/2021/10/20/child-deaths-are-52-percent-higher-since-they-were-offered-the-covid-19-vaccine/">52% increase in deaths of children against the five-year-average</a> since they were offered the Covid-19 vaccine, a UK J<a href="https://theexpose.uk/2021/10/20/child-deaths-are-52-percent-higher-since-they-were-offered-the-covid-19-vaccine/">udge ordering the Government to to submit evidence to court</a> justifying the vaccination of children, and the UK Health Security Agency report showing children are up to 16 times more likely to die if hospitalised with Covid-19 after being vaccinated, we think it’s time the Covid-19 vaccine roll-out to children was halted with immediate effect, don’t you?
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<h5>References</h5>
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<h3 class="jp-relatedposts-headline">Related</h3>
 
 
source <a href="https://theexpose.uk/2021/10/22/children-up-to-16-times-more-likely-to-die-with-covid-19-if-vaccinated/">https://theexpose.uk/2021/10/22/children-up-to-16-times-more-likely-to-die-with-covid-19-if-vaccinated/</a>

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Poaching is altering the genetics of wild animals

Sometime in the distant past, well before humans walked the Earth, the ancestors of modern-day elephants evolved their iconic tusks. Elephants use their bleach-white incisors — they’re technically giant teeth, like ours but longer — to dig, collect food, and protect themselves.
Then Homo sapiens arrived, and elephant tusks became a liability. Poachers kill the massive animals for their tusks, which are worth about <a href="http://www.savetheelephants.org/about-ste/press-media/?detail=dramatic-changes-in-china-s-ivory-trade">$330 a pound</a> wholesale as of 2017. Hunters slaughter roughly 20,000 elephants a year to supply the global ivory trade, <a href="https://www.worldwildlife.org/stories/what-is-ivory-and-why-does-it-belong-on-elephants">according to the World Wildlife Fund</a>.
But just as tusks evolved because they provide a number of benefits, a striking <a href="http://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abe7389">new study</a> shows that some populations of African elephants have rapidly evolved to become tusk–less. Published in the journal Science, the paper’s authors found that many elephants in a park in Mozambique, which were heavily hunted for their ivory during a civil war a few decades ago, have lost their tusks — presumably because tuskless elephants are more likely to survive and pass the trait on to their offspring.
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<figcaption>A tuskless female elephant in Mozambique’s Gorongosa National Park.</figcaption>
<cite>Courtesy of Joyce Poole</cite></figure>
While scientists have <a href="https://www.nationalgeographic.com/animals/article/wildlife-watch-news-tuskless-elephants-behavior-change">known about this trend</a> for a while — it’s not uncommon to see tuskless elephants in places with lots of poaching — the study provides strong evidence that the trait is rooted in genetics, something previous research failed to do, said Andrew Hendry, an evolutionary biologist at McGill University who was not involved in the research. In other words, the study shows evolution in action.
The results also offer a vivid example of how animals can quickly adapt under human pressures such as poaching and climate change. Past research has shown that creatures can evolve new colors, shapes, and even behaviors to better tolerate the increasingly inhospitable world we’ve created for them. The problem is that even rapid evolution has its limits — and many species are already on the brink.
Social conflict and the decline of wildlife are often closely linked, the authors of the Science study write. Few locations reveal a clearer picture of this than Gorongosa National Park, a protected area in central Mozambique where Shane Campbell-Staton, an evolutionary biologist at Princeton University, led the research.
During a 16-year civil war that began in 1977, poachers on both sides of the conflict slaughtered a huge number of elephants in the park for their ivory, which they sold to finance their efforts, according to the study. Over that period, the number of large herbivores (like elephants) at Gorongosa fell by more than 90 percent.
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<figcaption>The researchers have to tranquilize elephants in order to collect their DNA.</figcaption>
<cite>Courtesy of Shane Campbell-Staton</cite></figure>
That’s not all that changed in the park. Between 1970 and 2000 — a period that encompassed much of the impact of the long-running war — the portion of female elephants without tusks nearly tripled. The researchers’ best guess was that it had something to do with genetics: A trait visible only in females suggests it might be associated with changes to genes on the X chromosome. (Female elephants have two X chromosomes, whereas males have an X and a Y chromosome.)
This study all but proved it. The first bit of evidence was that female calves born from tuskless mothers were often themselves tuskless, indicating that the trait is passed on from one generation to the next. “A heritable trait is pretty strong evidence of a genetic basis,” said Robert Pringle, a biology professor at Princeton and a co-author of the study.
The authors also identified a couple of regions in the animals’ DNA that appear to be associated with a lack of tusks. Sure enough, “There is strong evidence for mutations on a particular region of the X chromosome,” Pringle said. Mutations, or variations in an organism’s DNA, are an important engine of evolution. If they result in traits that are beneficial — such as tusklessness, for certain populations of female elephants — they’re more likely to get passed to the next generation and drive evolution.
Remarkably, one of the genes associated with tusklessness is also present in humans, where it’s linked to a condition that limits the growth of our lateral incisors. These are essentially the same teeth that, in elephants, evolved into tusks millions of years ago.
What makes this study so fascinating is that it offers evidence of rapid evolution in an animal that has a pretty long lifespan — 50 or 60 years — in the wild, said Hendry and Fred Allendorf, a professor emeritus at the University of Montana who was not involved in the research.
Studies of elephants “rarely can say anything about the genetic basis” of tusklessness, Hendry said. For years, researchers assumed that rapid evolution was common only in small species with short life cycles. Given these results, “Nobody can argue that evolution isn’t occurring, even in the biggest and longest-lived species,” he added.
In theory, it’s advantageous to be born without tusks in areas where poachers are active, Hendry said. But tusklessness also has its downsides. Elephants need their tusks to dig, lift objects, and defend themselves. The hulking incisors are not useless appendages.
The genes that seem to make female elephants tuskless also appear to prevent mothers from giving birth to male calves — that’s why all the tuskless elephants in the park are female, Pringle said. (Some mothers did give birth to males with tusks, who likely didn’t inherit the gene.) Over time, a shift in the sex of elephants could have consequences for population growth.
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<figcaption>Two male elephants spar in the Masai Mara grassland in Narok, Kenya.</figcaption>
<cite>Wolfgang Kaehler/LightRocket via Getty Images</cite></figure>
There are also potential costs to African grasslands, which are among the <a href="https://www.vox.com/down-to-earth/22662490/grasslands-better-than-lawns-yard">rarest and most biodiverse ecosystems</a> on Earth, the study authors write. By turning over soil in search of food and minerals and gouging trees with their tusks, African savanna elephants prevent forests from growing too dense and help maintain grasslands. That’s why they’re considered “<a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169555X1100314X">engineers</a>” of the ecosystem. If they lose their tusks, a whole web of plants and animals may feel the impact.
“This evolutionary change could have massive cascading ecological influences,” Hendry said.
Humans have shaped the environment around them for centuries, down to the very genetics of wild plants and animals. The tuskless elephants in this study are just one example in a long list of species that have adapted in response to the pressures we’ve placed on them.
“Human-induced changes are creating conditions for fast biological evolution — so rapid that its effects can be seen in only a few years or even more quickly,” a team of scientists wrote in a landmark intergovernmental biodiversity <a href="https://ipbes.net/global-assessment">report</a> in 2019.
<figure class="e-image"><picture class="c-picture" data-cid="site/picture_element-1634882726_1781_72101" data-cdata='{"asset_id":22944449,"ratio":"*"}'><source srcset="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/9Rq2el_jetQNN78LcNLrzFOhg8c=/0x0:4242x2828/320x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/CGaYXaQ2GLlOal0Uvq7LW46U-HU=/0x0:4242x2828/520x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/8k0E5p1OyBq3VEMKdL_kLnQKMng=/0x0:4242x2828/720x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/YqyusqC3Hg9P58tVJUcDGCt0Dtc=/0x0:4242x2828/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 920w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/BHoSC315jUU7TtZDEhJKpem72sI=/0x0:4242x2828/1120x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 1120w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/7MreCLKPB82U8zYA4vgXS1t9M_U=/0x0:4242x2828/1320x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 1320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/BAPsFWfKC9ZZAkcCLmnT2_7oOSE=/0x0:4242x2828/1520x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 1520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/2SRdamTkHPYUKAYlUhWITdW99bA=/0x0:4242x2828/1720x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 1720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/DrgPhABJLhOjO4kmXXsZO6F-WyE=/0x0:4242x2828/1920x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 1920w" sizes="(min-width: 1221px) 846px, (min-width: 880px) calc(100vw - 334px), 100vw" type="image/webp" /> <img alt="" data-upload-width="4242" sizes="(min-width: 1221px) 846px, (min-width: 880px) calc(100vw - 334px), 100vw" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/gyhzPBBsny3UiT5gGSUA94Rdg_w=/0x0:4242x2828/1200x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg" srcset="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/pID9PABzOoO80KsrmqTbhYtKrRk=/0x0:4242x2828/320x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/QlSKwR2No5cP-1PHDYAOMvvrEjw=/0x0:4242x2828/520x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/VP8tBk4cVIX1h9QI6EumFcmzjG0=/0x0:4242x2828/720x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/gRkZ1iv5m0HIW3ccjS5mdSOYeX4=/0x0:4242x2828/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 920w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/G6xwr7rdX1T1X68F305exxahTxg=/0x0:4242x2828/1120x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 1120w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/Ygpg8LXjVYxq1OnWeEGWWAP_psk=/0x0:4242x2828/1320x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 1320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/RmA42T1NNKb9JPVf1kKHFQ6TyTg=/0x0:4242x2828/1520x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 1520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/AvwflmP8NryVHOS62YNlMQN2BEM=/0x0:4242x2828/1720x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 1720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/4JbJvX_5DF8m_-sOEyvqvfDdwAg=/0x0:4242x2828/1920x0/filters:focal(0x0:4242x2828):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944449/GettyImages_821828926.jpg 1920w" /></picture>
<figcaption>Light and dark forms of the peppered moth.</figcaption>
<cite>iStockphoto via Getty Images</cite></figure>
One of the earliest and most famous examples is the peppered moth in the UK. Before the Industrial Revolution, most of the moths flitting about England were white with speckles of black, which helped them blend in with lichen and tree bark. Then, in the mid- to late-1800s, coal-fired power plants and mills started belching dark soot that blackened trees in parts of the country. White moths stood out against the newly dark background and were more likely to be eaten by birds, whereas the once-rare black ones were camouflaged and survived. In a matter of years, some populations of peppered moths inverted from white to mostly black. The phenomenon was deemed “industrial melanism.”
Scientists have measured similar changes in recent decades. <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/nature02177">One study</a> from 2003, for example, found that bighorn sheep in Alberta, Canada, evolved smaller horns in roughly 30 years. The reason? Trophy hunters tend to target rams with larger horns. Another study, <a href="https://www.cell.com/current-biology/fulltext/S0960-9822(20)31655-9">published in November 2020</a>, suggests that a type of lily found in the mountains of China is evolving less-colorful leaves so it doesn't stand out in regions where it’s harvested as a traditional herb.
<figure class="e-image"><picture class="c-picture" data-cid="site/picture_element-1634882726_4764_72102" data-cdata='{"asset_id":22944453,"ratio":"*"}'><source srcset="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/Ql45P_PbLKT52gtWops1ANAqOZQ=/0x0:2897x1190/320x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/XMNdmSld-CRqbwWIuFUPjb6sF14=/0x0:2897x1190/520x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/4xyaU3WPMqLeiZin0zcvW8aCwFQ=/0x0:2897x1190/720x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/ILwviZXU0pVdMAkzHIPEqYdz_Yg=/0x0:2897x1190/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 920w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/AR46KbKDaJn3BxQNcVo0dOM_PBE=/0x0:2897x1190/1120x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 1120w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/pkjmlitFywL7aSoRF-_5sHukOR0=/0x0:2897x1190/1320x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 1320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/D7tBuNYx2PDGsLGCBjALSbvJiR8=/0x0:2897x1190/1520x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 1520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/3mYjJkvE1lf0NV7nZPYVNvGvzCk=/0x0:2897x1190/1720x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 1720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/tQYQ83YVqrmMeg4cPAfw1zZvpYA=/0x0:2897x1190/1920x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 1920w" sizes="(min-width: 1221px) 846px, (min-width: 880px) calc(100vw - 334px), 100vw" type="image/webp" /> <img alt="" data-upload-width="2897" sizes="(min-width: 1221px) 846px, (min-width: 880px) calc(100vw - 334px), 100vw" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/hYExz8VvsKJmQi4Zim3uQ9WJsjs=/0x0:2897x1190/1200x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg" srcset="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/nE5xrFLEjgeVHBe35xipj2r7S4w=/0x0:2897x1190/320x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/ay3R1S9DPQ-qHJQE3a_tBnWtO3s=/0x0:2897x1190/520x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/DRngzHnB9rVmFbamyG-5LS03jZk=/0x0:2897x1190/720x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/aMQ0ZtV25gD4KFRNjFtokkWPa3M=/0x0:2897x1190/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 920w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/Q0i58UVR0SvkTzPviVP8jdHQfD8=/0x0:2897x1190/1120x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 1120w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/8eXiFwnm7pCIZU1lEN-gJ7P06_U=/0x0:2897x1190/1320x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 1320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/RnxE9cLijQzSUJd4KjHGaCDXfLQ=/0x0:2897x1190/1520x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 1520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/lid5sAYNc81pkDOWlc7vNxlLmg0=/0x0:2897x1190/1720x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 1720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/RdTdH4jiljl3LR0U2H7Bo0AlQFw=/0x0:2897x1190/1920x0/filters:focal(0x0:2897x1190):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22944453/1_s2.0_S0960982220316559_gr1_lrg.jpg 1920w" /></picture>
<figcaption>In regions where a kind of lily called Fritillaria delavayi is heavily harvested, the plant has adapted better camouflage (see images C and D).</figcaption>
<cite><a class="ql-link" href="https://www.cell.com/current-biology/fulltext/S0960-9822(20)31655-9" target="_blank">Niu et al./Current Biology</a></cite></figure>
Rising temperatures from climate change also appear to be making some animals, including birds and mammals, smaller, as I <a href="https://www.vox.com/22558979/animals-birds-shrinking-size-heat-climate-change">previously reported</a>. Smaller bodies cool off more easily than larger ones, so shrinking could be an adaptive response in warming environments (though it’s not yet clear whether these particular changes are genetic).
Then there are species changing in less conspicuous ways. In Japan, populations of mamushi snakes that are heavily hunted for their perceived medicinal and nutritional benefits <a href="https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/18798855/">seem to be better at evading predators</a>, compared to snake populations that hunters have ignored. Many species, including plants and insects, have evolved resistance to pesticides, which is why farmers often use <a href="https://www.vox.com/22612979/pesticide-mixtures-kill-bees-insects-pollinators">several at once</a> and chemical companies must constantly develop new solutions.
There’s something like hope behind the idea of rapid evolution. Humans are deforesting, polluting, and exploiting the Earth at an alarming pace, yet in some cases, animals are adapting to live another day. There’s even a term for this resilience, Hendry said: “evolutionary rescue.”
Still, this evolution, as fast-tracked as it may be, still often isn’t quick enough to overcome the many threats species face. And because adaptations can also come with drawbacks, there are untold and unpredictable consequences for the ecosystem at large.
Plus, not all species can adapt their way out of crisis. Consider rhinoceroses, which <a href="https://www.vox.com/down-to-earth/22723289/3d-printed-rhino-horn-wildlife-conservation-poaching">poachers kill for their horns</a>. Three of the five rhino species have been hunted almost to extinction, yet none appear to have evolved hornlessness.
In Gorongosa National Park, the ecosystem has <a href="https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0212864">largely recovered</a> from the war, Pringle said. Poaching has subsided, but tusks haven’t bounced back. After the war, the park successfully rebuilt its infrastructure, ramped up law enforcement, and put social development programs into place. The presence of tuskless elephants is now akin to a scar from an injury that’s healed, Pringle said. So while evolution may have helped these creatures survive, the real remedy is putting an end to the underlying forces that triggered it in the first place.
 
 
source <a href="https://www.vox.com/down-to-earth/22735163/elephant-tusks-genetics-evolution-adaptation-hunting">https://www.vox.com/down-to-earth/22735163/elephant-tusks-genetics-evolution-adaptation-hunting</a>

vox Poaching is altering the genetics of wild animals

Sometime in the distant past, well before humans walked the Earth, the ancestors of modern-day elephants evolved their iconic tusks. Elephan...

Remote work is bringing the city to the suburbs

Watertown, Massachusetts, has long been a popular place to live due to its proximity to Boston and its distinction as having a very large Target. Thanks to remote work, locals say the city is now becoming <a href="https://www.redfin.com/city/29540/MA/Watertown/housing-market#trends">more attractive</a> in its own right.
More people spending more of their time in Watertown has meant more urban amenities, like trendy stores, coffee shops, and even a potential <a href="https://watertownfoodcoop.org/">food co-op</a>, for the once sleepy suburban community.
Developers are <a href="https://bostonrealestatetimes.com/watertown-mall-sells-for-130-million-to-alexandria-real-estate-equities/">buying up</a> <a href="https://www.bisnow.com/boston/news/life-sciences/harrison-street-pays-92m-for-watertown-vaccine-production-site-in-sale-leaseback-deal-110553?fr=operanews">real estate</a> in the hope that it will become a destination for the life science and innovation sectors. A once defunct mall is currently being converted into mixed-use space full of retail, residences, and restaurants that act more like a downtown than Watertown’s actual downtown. The <a href="https://www.arsenalyards.com/">Arsenal Yards</a> project began before the start of the pandemic, but much of the leasing has happened after it. Already, 76 percent of its apartment space and 85 percent of its retail space have been leased. And its developers expect full occupancy next year.
Watertown is one of many American suburbs undergoing a similar transition as a consequence of the pandemic.
<figure class="e-image"><picture class="c-picture" data-cid="site/picture_element-1634883324_3166_79808" data-cdata='{"asset_id":22930341,"ratio":"*"}'><source srcset="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/Zil7O3aJ9zIeOARaw5QcF0Mjz9A=/0x0:3000x2000/320x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/x9jpFrjf9TVLmg825tHKtRSZTl4=/0x0:3000x2000/520x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/dH4sI2KNDrnckRhCv7PJML_LVb8=/0x0:3000x2000/720x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/liBMzaRhL9H8PiGiDML_v3DT6ho=/0x0:3000x2000/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 920w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/d6s-1nmJMoHp3wID5MXuhk0S_gg=/0x0:3000x2000/1120x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 1120w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/B3oUorJglTBy8-bquEaNvedaxFo=/0x0:3000x2000/1320x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 1320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/ItCc3JJRxuNXHCqGfQJU39nMWLU=/0x0:3000x2000/1520x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 1520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/5gF6TOezW5SE-3Oo-dxJvwZLZUk=/0x0:3000x2000/1720x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 1720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/aJ8JyKDdMZhrMAM9i02Vb0J4dJ4=/0x0:3000x2000/1920x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 1920w" sizes="(min-width: 1221px) 846px, (min-width: 880px) calc(100vw - 334px), 100vw" type="image/webp" /> <img alt="Tightly packed rows of mostly identical houses, seen from above." data-upload-width="3000" sizes="(min-width: 1221px) 846px, (min-width: 880px) calc(100vw - 334px), 100vw" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/BoU3NJxVWKvvqtZa2Zlf1uB_Vp4=/0x0:3000x2000/1200x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg" srcset="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/SWORrBrdQGpgSbbF_99REVmsULw=/0x0:3000x2000/320x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/6uD3AfSDg6DWkZiKYQlG3tsUub4=/0x0:3000x2000/520x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/q89Nu5c2LDgJLBtEjHzN2c4HwfY=/0x0:3000x2000/720x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/ua-xSnnFqe5a6nNCnMx1ZrE4JrE=/0x0:3000x2000/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 920w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/CaA_nWBNbVh0edfO-GMPs739U2w=/0x0:3000x2000/1120x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 1120w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/9C-VJ2sONoNS_UTO61qNdn3VmTM=/0x0:3000x2000/1320x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 1320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/f6H3CcgAzuq5ggsEzE5PvEIb8i4=/0x0:3000x2000/1520x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 1520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/lDniDGt4-YRgE0tGuGflSQ241l4=/0x0:3000x2000/1720x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 1720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/Q1utd6vEFtqbQBkG64MoyedK7Jw=/0x0:3000x2000/1920x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2000):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22930341/GettyImages_1178659422.jpg 1920w" /></picture>
<figcaption>Single-family suburban homes, like these in Cupertino, California, are characterized by lawns, similar construction, and proximity to cities.</figcaption>
<cite>Sam Hall/Bloomberg via Getty Images</cite></figure>
In the spring of 2020, many of the typical draws to cities — plays, nightclubs, restaurants — shut down. Space took on a premium, as small apartments close to others felt particularly claustrophobic. All of a sudden, a big home in the suburbs for the same monthly price as a tiny apartment in the city got a whole lot more attractive. The lifestyle also seemed safer, as you could travel in the isolation of your own vehicle and play in personal green spaces with less fear of infection. More companies than ever are <a href="https://www.littler.com/files/2021_littler_employer_survey_report.pdf">allowing employees to work from home</a>, and studies say that between <a href="https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm">13</a> and <a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/355907/remote-work-persisting-trending-permanent.aspx">45 percent</a> of the workforce is now remote some or all of the time.
As a result, a new rush to the suburbs is well underway. The number of net new households that moved to the suburbs <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/pandemic-supercharged-changes-in-where-americans-live-11619536399">grew 43 percent last year</a>, according to data from the Wall Street Journal, compared to 2019. While that naturally slowed in the first half of 2021, <a href="https://www.nar.realtor/blogs/economists-outlook/migration-in-the-first-half-of-2021">urban areas are still losing people</a> as they relocate to suburban and rural areas.
People who left their city apartments for houses in the suburbs aren’t just living in the suburbs, they’re working there now, too. In turn, the people and services these workers may have relied on in city centers are moving to the suburbs as well. All of this will affect which businesses thrive and what real estate develops in the suburbs. It could also change traffic patterns, exacerbate urban sprawl, and heighten inequality.
New suburban businesses and improved real estate trends could lead to revitalized communities, less travel, and better quality of living for some. But not everyone will benefit. Sprawl is bad for the environment and can make life <a href="https://www.urban.org/features/too-far-jobs-spatial-mismatch-and-hourly-workers">worse for the poorest Americans</a>.
People might be leaving behind the cities, but that doesn’t mean they want to forgo the city lifestyle. Even in the suburbs, people still want to be able to grab a quick coffee and a sandwich, and maybe a midday workout, and they don’t always want to do that at home. That demand has huge repercussions for commerce and construction. Research from <a href="https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w28876/w28876.pdf">Stanford’s Arjun Ramani and Nicholas Bloom</a> estimates that the largest cities have lost approximately 15 percent of their population and business to the suburbs.
Of course moving to the suburbs isn’t new: People young and old have long left the bustle and tight quarters of cities for the relative serenity and expanse of the suburbs. The postwar period created the suburbs as we know them, with many families accepting commutes in exchange for big houses outside urban hubs. In recent decades, that trend reversed. As newer generations glommed on to the entertainment, energy, and easy public transit of cities, population growth in many <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052702304830704577493032619987956">cities again outpaced suburbs</a> beginning a decade ago.
But now suburbs are swelling again. Even before 2020, the suburbs had been <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/06/pandemic-suburbs-are-best/613300/">urbanizing for years</a>, as suburban dwellers sought the ease and efficiency of mixed-use areas that centered homes among commerce. But the increased prevalence of remote work has supercharged that progression by making it more viable.
This influx of people from cities to the suburbs will in some ways make the suburbs a lot more like the city, with more businesses located within walking distance of where people live. Achieving something that resembles urban density in the suburbs requires repurposing existing real estate to support a wider variety of businesses and functions, according to June Williamson, a professor of architecture and urban design at the City College of New York and co-author of <a href="https://ssa.ccny.cuny.edu/blog/2021/02/09/case-studies-in-retrofitting-suburbia/">Case Studies in Retrofitting Suburbia</a>.
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<aside><q>“I do not foresee a circumstance where a bunch of people who bought homes [in the suburbs] are going to just en masse turn around” —Jeff Tucker, senior economist at Zillow</q></aside>
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“The model is to reuse spaces, so instead of one entity, it’s lots of smaller businesses,” Williamson said. “There might be a food court, farmers market, hairdresser, preschool, lots of events, maybe a micro hotel — basically an ersatz downtown.”
Shifts in where people are spending their time are transforming how all kinds businesses in the suburbs work, too. Previously, suburban businesses were beholden to the daily commute — catering to people headed out to the city in the morning, emptying out during the day, and picking back up only after people returned home for the evening. A suburban restaurant near a transit hub, for example, might only get enough business to support a breakfast and dinner service, so wouldn’t be profitable midday.
“[Suburbs] used to be incredibly dead because there were just large stretches of time when no one was there,” Arpit Gupta, an assistant professor of finance at NYU’s business school, said. Having people live and work in one area means there is a more regular flow of people throughout the day, which is better for sustaining a wider variety of businesses.
“In the long run, I think it will make the suburbs more vibrant,” Gupta said.
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<figcaption>Arsenal Yards in Watertown, Massachusetts, calls itself an “urban village.”</figcaption>
<cite>Anton Grassl</cite></figure>
A number of examples of <a href="https://www.fastcompany.com/90678287/the-suburban-office-park-rises-from-the-dead">repurposing bygone suburban real estate</a> for mixed-use are also popping up around the country. While some of these projects were initiated before the pandemic, the influx of people to these areas since the pandemic began is making the fate of these developments more secure. The Arsenal Yards development mentioned earlier books itself as an “urban village set right in the heart of Watertown’s historic East End.”
In the suburbs outside of Austin, Texas, another defunct shopping center, the Highland Mall, is <a href="https://aquilacommercial.com/learning-center/highland-redevelopment-austin-texas-whats-planned-construction/">being converted</a> into a community college campus, office space, housing, and stores in addition to parks and trails. During the pandemic, <a href="https://bell.works/chicagoland/explore/">Bell Works</a>, a “destination for business and culture” that already had a location at the former Bell Labs headquarters in Holmdel, New Jersey, opened a second office, dining, and fitness space in another former AT&T campus in the Chicago suburbs. It bills itself as a “little metropolis in suburbia.”
<div class="c-wide-block">
<figure class="e-image"><picture class="c-picture" data-cid="site/picture_element-1634883324_1245_79810" data-cdata='{"asset_id":22929428,"ratio":"*"}'><source srcset="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/PYrghuoQEF4bAeIzbg4v5bc9z2M=/0x0:5917x3950/320x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/DK2lB4iGF9Y4fDcTpN27u9Sbqco=/0x0:5917x3950/520x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/wiF7N7LeD0G4q7E59xwk-d3ZUto=/0x0:5917x3950/720x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/2zgV3fEpxwb2bTXsgV6BxstLZkQ=/0x0:5917x3950/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 920w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/axpej9vOa_mpd-M156CeyRgIwnU=/0x0:5917x3950/1120x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 1120w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/GOm1ryu6JUIwuUmrSUAP0R2-qAA=/0x0:5917x3950/1320x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 1320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/AfvF5YlFwpMX85JU16lqQEGt2yU=/0x0:5917x3950/1520x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 1520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/8lHg8UPvk9ujTFwQTXqOmPaLA5Y=/0x0:5917x3950/1720x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 1720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/Ojp_hNYJd5AskSMo0Zmu96Dqgpo=/0x0:5917x3950/1920x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 1920w" sizes="90vw" type="image/webp" /> <img alt="People work at tables in a mixed-use building that formerly housed a research and development&nbsp;facility for Bell Labs." data-upload-width="5917" sizes="90vw" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/7X2NaV5zd89MqJ99di7XFSds5j8=/0x0:5917x3950/1200x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg" srcset="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/28oSZkX36n_G5wfTQtFRrSyJt0g=/0x0:5917x3950/320x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/JZ3eevSMlOscZvw3fJE6EqZXxT4=/0x0:5917x3950/520x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/Gwe0mxPejI0S4b3IYNu9E0qZ3eQ=/0x0:5917x3950/720x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/ffj80wRsyFZo1Ax3b6CE4_Ehpk0=/0x0:5917x3950/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 920w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/gddBrBOdMfiSMuQdR70FHIqs62A=/0x0:5917x3950/1120x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 1120w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/YCdfdxaEguLnpSCO6wJ4_f7vq8Q=/0x0:5917x3950/1320x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 1320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/qohhV-1bVpbzzj5uQmHnjuTq6ZE=/0x0:5917x3950/1520x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 1520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/hihaMTGi4opYREyunwTyWpGVi_o=/0x0:5917x3950/1720x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 1720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/p5gl26xt1oZsMqfPEHx3h9OP6I4=/0x0:5917x3950/1920x0/filters:focal(0x0:5917x3950):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22929428/OBP_8461.jpg 1920w" /></picture>
<figcaption>Remote work could be a boon for mixed-use spaces like Bell Works coworking, residential, and retail space in New Jersey.</figcaption>
<cite>Courtesy of Bell Works</cite></figure>
</div>
Office real estate is also changing in the suburbs and mimicking the city coworking trend of the last decade. Prices for suburban office real estate haven’t declined nearly as much as downtowns, according to data from real estate firm <a href="https://www.cbre.com/">CBRE</a>. Working from the suburbs doesn’t necessarily mean working from home. For those whose homes aren’t suitable for work or who need space to meet or collaborate, or who just enjoy going into an office, a <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/suburban-homes-and-retail-are-the-budding-new-office-hotspot-11620129603">cottage industry of suburban office options</a> is popping up.
“My competitor is right now your home and maybe Starbucks,” said Joel Steinhaus, a former executive at the coworking space pioneer WeWork and cofounder of <a href="https://www.daybase.co/">Daybase</a>, a coworking company that plans to open spaces in former suburban retail stores like Pier 1 Imports and Victoria’s Secret. WeWork and its model for flexible office space rose to prominence in the early 2010s, when city centers were thriving and companies were experimenting with new approaches to real estate. WeWork <a href="https://www.vox.com/recode/2019/9/23/20879656/wework-mess-explained-ipo-softbank">nearly went under</a> just before the pandemic.
In some cases, suburban coworking may be more popular than in cities, according to new <a href="https://blog.liquidspace.com/news-stream/the-sf-bay-area-has-become-the-testing-ground-for-the-new-hybrid-workplace">data from LiquidSpace</a>, a marketplace for coworking space. Sacramento, a popular decampment for people moving from the high prices of the Bay Area, currently has more bookings on the site than San Francisco.
Housing in the suburbs is changing, too. It’s getting more expensive. Due to high demand and limited supply, housing prices in the suburbs and exurbs have skyrocketed, while prices in major city centers have stagnated. For example, central Boston saw its home value grow 9 percent in the last two years, while prices for places within commuting distance of the city like Worcester and Providence grew about 30 percent, according to <a href="https://app.developer.here.com/home-value-commute-times-zillow-covid19-pandemic/">data from Zillow and HERE Technologies</a>.
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<figcaption>The price of homes outside Boston grew much more quickly than central Boston from 2019-2021.</figcaption>
<cite>Zillow and HERE Technologies</cite></figure>
The difference is even more apparent in New York City — a city with a <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/22264320/jobs-report-unemployment-rate-inequality">high concentration of remote workers</a> — where the median home price in urban areas of Manhattan, Brooklyn, and Queens actually declined while prices for homes 90 minutes away went up about 25 percent in the past two years.
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<figcaption>Two-year home values declined in New York city but rose steadily in areas outside it.</figcaption>
<cite>Zillow and HERE Technologies</cite></figure>
“Small, expensive homes close to the office that previously benefited from a short commute as well as proximity to urban amenities — those homes saw a lot of their appeal decline,” Jeff Tucker, senior economist at Zillow, said. That’s because many of the city amenities were curtailed during the pandemic. Meanwhile, the home office became the new office.
“The relative value of space definitely went up,” he said.
While some question how long-lasting the move to the suburbs will be, the fact that people are <a href="https://www.zillow.com/research/2020-urban-suburban-report-28802/">buying so many homes</a> makes it a difficult trend to unwind.
“I do not foresee a circumstance where a bunch of people who bought homes, even if they’re relatively further out, are going to just en masse turn around,” Zillow’s Tucker said. “The vast majority are going to build their lives out there.”
The rush to the suburbs will also affect what houses will look like. Instead of homogenous developments of large detached homes on half-acres of land, Tucker said, new construction includes more varied housing types to meet a broader range of consumer demand. That means construction of townhouses and apartment buildings in addition to the single-family homes of yore. Like the mixed-use retrofits mentioned earlier, these developments will be near or even include businesses within them.
While the move to the suburbs will certainly benefit individuals, it threatens to exacerbate problems that have always plagued the suburbs — transit, sprawl, inequality — unless we do something different this time.
When people talk about the benefits of remote work, skipping their commute — and its logistical and environmental challenges — is often the first thing they mention. However, the jury is out on whether remote work will actually lead to less driving.
Whether or not remote work leads to a net decrease in miles driven will depend on two main factors, according to Adie Tomer, <a href="https://www.brookings.edu/experts/adie-tomer/">senior fellow at the Brookings Institution</a>: how many days a week people go into the office and how far from cities they move. We don’t really know the full extent of either yet. Most office companies have said they will operate under the so-called hybrid model, which means employees can split work between home and the office, but many haven’t hashed out the details yet or those details are still in flux. What we do know is that the majority of travel <a href="https://nhts.ornl.gov/assets/2017_nhts_summary_travel_trends.pdf">happens outside of commutes</a>, and when people live in more suburban areas, their average trips to things like grocery stores or restaurants or day care <a href="https://www.brookings.edu/interactives/connecting-people-and-places-exploring-new-measures-of-travel-behavior/">are longer</a>.
<div class="c-float-right">
<aside><q>Many suburbs lack good public transit, which makes it difficult for those with lower incomes — or without cars — to be able to get around</q></aside>
</div>
So far, while overall vehicle miles traveled in the US is <a href="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/TRFVOLUSM227NFWA">down slightly from pre-pandemic</a>, it varies widely by area. Traffic in city centers is below normal, but it has recovered in the suburbs and is in some cases heavier than before, according to data from <a href="https://www.streetlightdata.com/">StreetLight Data</a>, which studies traffic patterns through cellphone data. Things could get worse as more people head into the office again, leading to more time spent in cars and more greenhouse gas emissions.
Another related issue to consider is how increased remote work could <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2021-05-12/working-from-home-has-fewer-commuters-on-buses-and-trains">negatively affect mass transit</a>. Fewer people taking mass transit into cities threatens the overall viability of those transit systems going forward. Many suburbs already <a href="https://www.urban.org/features/unequal-commute">lack good public transit</a>, which makes it difficult for those with lower incomes — or without cars — to be able to get around, inhibiting their access to jobs and even basic necessities.
“Urban sprawl makes providing a robust public transit system very difficult,” Christina Stacy, a principal research associate at the Urban Institute, said.
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<figcaption>Workers eat a meal on a rooftop deck, which features a dining area, grill, and outdoor television, at a suburban office park in Burlington, Massachusetts.</figcaption>
<cite>David L. Ryan/The Boston Globe via Getty Images</cite></figure>
Rising housing prices in the suburbs are making matters worse. New housing in the suburbs tends to happen at the outskirts, where land is available and less expensive, another factor that contributes to sprawl.
While some places like <a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/how-minneapolis-became-the-first-to-end-single-family-zoning">Minneapolis</a> and, more recently, the state of <a href="https://www.latimes.com/homeless-housing/story/2021-09-17/what-just-happened-with-single-family-zoning-in-california">California</a> are embracing suburban densification by allowing more than one house to be built on a property, that’s by no means the norm and depends on the policies of a given municipality.
Residents in so-called “<a href="https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/32821/412648-Benefits-of-Living-in-High-Opportunity-Neighborhoods.PDF">high-opportunity neighborhoods</a>,” predominantly white areas with low poverty and unemployment as well as ample job opportunities, can be reluctant to embrace these changes.
“In a lot of high-opportunity neighborhoods, homeowners don’t want that increased density. They don’t want increased population. They worry about traffic and congestion and their house prices going down and schools being overcrowded,” Stacy said. That’s an impediment to changing zoning laws to allow more dense and mixed-use building.
If such changes don’t happen and prices continue to rise in the suburbs, poorer residents could get forced out of what’s becoming a more vibrant place to be.
“We need to be careful and make sure we’re preserving and developing affordable housing to allow households to remain in place,” Stacy said. “It’s important for the economy as a whole,” she said, noting that in order to have more amenities, you need people to staff those amenities as well. <a href="https://www.urban.org/features/too-far-jobs-spatial-mismatch-and-hourly-workers">Mismatches</a> between where lower-income people live and where jobs are located lead to higher unemployment rates and longer periods of joblessness. To combat these problems, suburbs will need better transit and more affordable housing near commerce centers.
While today’s suburbs are getting a facelift — younger people, more urban amenities, a more consistent revenue stream from remote workers — many of the problems that have plagued previous iterations of the suburbs persist. In many ways, the suburbs are more vibrant than ever. But to keep them that way, we need to avoid the pitfalls of the past.
 
 
source <a href="https://www.vox.com/recode/22714777/remote-work-from-home-city-suburbs-housing-traffic">https://www.vox.com/recode/22714777/remote-work-from-home-city-suburbs-housing-traffic</a>

vox Remote work is bringing the city to the suburbs

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